{"id":577,"date":"2022-04-02T13:34:49","date_gmt":"2022-04-02T05:34:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cabit.top\/?p=577"},"modified":"2022-07-02T10:51:49","modified_gmt":"2022-07-02T02:51:49","slug":"risk-%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e6%b5%8b%e8%af%95%e7%9b%b8%e5%85%b3%e7%9f%a9%e9%98%b5%e7%9a%84%e6%9c%89%e6%95%88%e6%80%a7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cabit.top\/?p=577","title":{"rendered":"@RISK \u5982\u4f55\u6d4b\u8bd5\u76f8\u5173\u77e9\u9635\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\uff1a<\/strong><br>@RISK 4.x\u20137.x<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>@RISK \u5982\u4f55\u786e\u5b9a\u6211\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u77e9\u9635\u662f\u5426\u6709\u6548\uff1f<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u57fa\u672c\u539f\u5219\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e24\u4e2a\u8f93\u5165\u90fd\u4e0e\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e2a\u8f93\u5165\u5f3a\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5b83\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u81f3\u5c11\u5f7c\u6b64\u5f31\u76f8\u5173\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5c06 A \u548c B \u5173\u8054\u4e3a 0.9\uff0cA \u548c C \u5173\u8054\u4e3a 0.8\uff0c\u4f46 B \u548c C \u5173\u8054\u4e3a 0.0\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u662f\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\u3002\u6709\u6548\u77e9\u9635\u662f\u76f8\u5173\u7cfb\u6570\u76f8\u4e92\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\u77e9\u9635\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5f53\u53ea\u6d89\u53ca\u4e09\u4e2a\u8f93\u5165\u65f6\uff0c\u5f88\u5bb9\u6613\u68c0\u67e5\u6709\u6548\u7ec4\u5408\u3002\u5982\u679c A \u548c B \u7684\u7cfb\u6570\u662f m\uff0cA \u548c C \u7684\u7cfb\u6570\u662f n\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48 B \u548c C \u7684\u7cfb\u6570\u5fc5\u987b\u5728<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>mn \u00b1 sqrt( (1-m\u00b2) (1-n\u00b2) )<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u4e24\u4e2a\u968f\u673a\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u4e0e\u6570\u5b66\u8bba\u575b<a href=\"http:\/\/mathforum.org\/library\/drmath\/view\/62860.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4e0a\u7684\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u76f8\u5173\u3002<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5982\u679c A \u548c B \u7684\u76f8\u5173\u7cfb\u6570\u4e3a 0.9\uff0cA \u548c C \u7684\u76f8\u5173\u7cfb\u6570\u4e3a 0.8\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48 B \u548c C \u7684\u76f8\u5173\u7cfb\u6570\u5fc5\u987b\u5728<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>0.9 * 0.8 \u00b1 sqrt( (1-0.9\u00b2) (1-0.8\u00b2) ) = 0.72 \u00b1 0.26153 = 0.458 \u5230 0.982<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f@RISK \u5982\u4f55\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e00\u539f\u5219\u63a8\u5e7f\u5230\u4efb\u610f\u5927\u5c0f\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u77e9\u9635\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u4f7f\u7528\u5b8c\u6574\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u521b\u5efa\u76f8\u5173\u77e9\u9635\uff0c\u5219\u5982\u679c\u4efb\u4f55\u53d8\u91cf\u4e4b\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u7ebf\u6027\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u662f\u534a\u6b63\u5b9a\u7684\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u7ebf\u6027\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u662f\u6b63\u5b9a\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u786e\u5b9a\u77e9\u9635\u662f\u5426\u4e3a\u6b63\u5b9a\u7684\u6700\u7b80\u5355\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u8ba1\u7b97\u5176\u7279\u5f81\u503c\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f@RISK \u5728\u6a21\u62df\u5f00\u59cb\u65f6\u6240\u505a\u7684\u3002\u6b63\u5b9a\u77e9\u9635\u5c06\u5177\u6709\u6240\u6709\u6b63\u7279\u5f81\u503c\uff0c\u800c\u534a\u6b63\u5b9a\u77e9\u9635\u5c06\u5177\u6709\u5927\u4e8e\u6216\u7b49\u4e8e 0 \u7684\u7279\u5f81\u503c\u548c\u81f3\u5c11\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b49\u4e8e 0 \u7684\u7279\u5f81\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5bf9\u4e8e@RISK\uff0c\u201c\u6709\u6548\u201d\u77e9\u9635\u662f\u6b63\u5b9a\u6216\u534a\u6b63\u5b9a\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u77e9\u9635\uff0c\u201c\u65e0\u6548\u201d\u77e9\u9635\u662f\u5177\u6709\u81f3\u5c11\u4e00\u4e2a\u8d1f\u7279\u5f81\u503c\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u77e9\u9635\u3002\u6709\u5173@RISK \u5982\u4f55\u8c03\u6574\u65e0\u6548\u76f8\u5173\u77e9\u9635\u7684\u8be6\u7ec6\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u8bf7\u53c2\u9605<a href=\"https:\/\/cabit.top\/?p=575\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"575\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">@RISK \u5982\u4f55\u8c03\u6574\u65e0\u6548\u76f8\u5173\u77e9\u9635<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u5982\u679c\u6211\u7684\u77e9\u9635\u65e0\u6548\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u63d0\u524d\u786e\u5b9a\uff1f<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u5bf9\u4e8e@RISK 5.x\u20137.x<\/strong>\uff1a\u5728@RISK \u6a21\u578b\u7a97\u53e3\u4e2d\uff0c\u5355\u51fb\u76f8\u5173\u9009\u9879\u5361\u5e76\u4f7f\u7528\u68c0\u67e5\u77e9\u9635\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\u547d\u4ee4\u8ba9@RISK \u68c0\u67e5\u77e9\u9635\u662f\u5426\u81ea\u4e00\u81f4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>\u5bf9\u4e8e@RISK 4.5 \u53ca\u66f4\u65e9\u7248\u672c<\/em>\uff1a\u201c\u65e0\u6548\u201d\u77e9\u9635\u5177\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u6216\u591a\u4e2a\u8d1f\u7279\u5f81\u503c\u3002Excel \u672c\u8eab\u6ca1\u6709\u8ba1\u7b97\u7279\u5f81\u503c\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u8868\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u4f46\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u8f6f\u4ef6\u5e94\u7528\u7a0b\u5e8f\u548c Excel \u63d2\u4ef6\u5177\u6709\u8be5\u529f\u80fd\u3002\u4e00\u79cd\u514d\u8d39\u8f6f\u4ef6\u66ff\u4ee3\u54c1\u662f MATRIX\uff0c<a href=\"http:\/\/digilander.libero.it\/foxes\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u7f51\u5740\u4e3ahttp:\/\/digilander.libero.it\/foxes\/\uff082013-03-14<\/a>\u8bbf\u95ee\uff09\u3002\uff08\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5176\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u63d0\u53ca\uff0c\u4e0d\u8ba4\u53ef\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5f71\u54cd\u4efb\u4f55\u5176\u4ed6\u8ba1\u7b97\u7279\u5f81\u503c\u7684\u8f6f\u4ef6\u3002\uff09<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\uff1a@RISK 4.x\u20137.&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-577","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-risk"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cabit.top\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/577","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cabit.top\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cabit.top\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cabit.top\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cabit.top\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=577"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/cabit.top\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/577\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":669,"href":"https:\/\/cabit.top\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/577\/revisions\/669"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cabit.top\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=577"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cabit.top\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=577"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cabit.top\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=577"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}